Why A U.S. Bitcoin ETF Has A 75% Chance Of Being Approved In October
Bitcoin ETFs are a hot topic in the crypto space. It has been an uphill battle as investment firms struggle to get the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to approve the first bitcoin ETF in the country. The push for approval has intensified in the past couple of months with more institutional investors throwing their […]
Related News
As the SEC "kicks the can" on traditional Bitcoin ETFs, the Bitcoin futures equivalent is gearing up for likely approval, says Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas. A Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) has a 75% chance of being approved this month — in some form.In comments this weekend, Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst for Bloomberg, said that United States Bitcoin futures ETFs were “likely on schedule” for the regulatory green light.Bitcoin futures ETFs "very much alive"October began with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announcing a frustrating yet not uncommon delay to their....
Following notable changes to the ARK 21Shares Spot Bitcoin ETF application, Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have predicted that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could approve a fund as early as next year. 90% Chance Of Approval In a post shared on his X (formerly Twitter) platform, Seyffart highlighted his team’s prediction of the 90% chance that a Spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved by Ark Invest’s January 10 deadline. January 10 is the day the SEC is expected to make a final decision (approval or denial) on ARK Invest’s Spot Bitcoin ETF....
Speculation about the Winklevoss twins’ Bitcoin ETF possible regulatory approval continues. On March 11, the US Securities and Exchange Commission should come to its “yes” or “no” verdict after almost four years of waiting. It may happen by the time two of the world’s top Bitcoin exchanges that are based in China - Huobi and OKCoin - would have resumed their full withdrawal services. Most commentators are certain that the first Bitcoin exchange traded fund or ETF is not likely to be approved. However, commentaries are still divided over the issue and none of the stakeholders rule out the....
According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin has a 50% chance of topping $140,000 before the month ends. He posted that likelihood on X and backed it with simulation work that uses a decade of price moves to map likely outcomes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $126K — Bitwise CIO Sees $1 Trillion Wave Coming Simulation Based On Historical Data Peterson said the model runs hundreds of simulations using daily Bitcoin prices going back to 2015. Based on those runs, he put the chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140,000 at 50%. He also gave a 43% probability that the price will end....
The US SEC recently approved a new set of generic listing standards in September 2025 for commodity-based exchange-traded products, including those tied to digital assets. Many in the industry now believe that this regulatory move could hasten the listing of spot ETFs for altcoins such as XRP, possibly as early as October. As it stands, […]