Crypto Traders Bet on US Election as FTX Prediction Markets Hit Record Volumes
October sees record volume for TRUMP and BIDEN markets three weeks ahead of the U.S. election.
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Prediction markets are being dominated by automated AI agents and high-frequency trading bots, which extracted around $40 million from market inefficiencies within a single month. Related Reading: Crypto Donations Face Ban As Canada Steps Up Election Security Measures These digital traders look for news of global unrest and respond in milliseconds, often moving the price […]
Crypto-powered election futures have seen a wild 24-hours of trade, with decentralized platforms Augur and Polymarket posting record volumes. The 2020 U.S. presidential election has driven significant action across crypto-powered predictive markets.Ethereum’s co-creator Vitalik Buterin took to Twitter during the counting of votes to praise the success enjoyed by crypto-powered prediction platforms amid the election season, stating:“Regardless of who wins from here, I definitely think that the prediction markets have proven themselves more accurate than the polls/models this time....
Buterin asks whether crypto prediction markets reflect the wisdom of the crowd or are skewed by illiquidity and the political bias of their social base. On the eve of the United States presidential election, most mainstream polls are pointing to a highly likely Joe Biden victory, though this isn’t reflected in crypto prediction markets.For Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, the “big difference” between them presents something of a puzzle, and he’s offered three guesses as to why such a disparity has emerged.In what he posed as a pro-prediction market or favorable view, Buterin suggested....
Emerging Ethereum-powered predictions platform Polymarket produced six-figure volume amid the first presidential debates. The first debate of the 2020 U.S. presidential election had no clear winner, but crypto-powered prediction platforms are having a field day. Election futures on crypto derivatives exchange FTX boomed, with the platform’s CEO reporting more than $4 million in open interest trying to pick the winner between Democrat Joe Biden, and Republican Donald Trump. On FTX, Trump’s brash debate performance got a big thumbs down and drove a 10% crash in the price of futures contracts....
Two different acts banning congressional staff, members of congress and federal officials from trading on prediction markets were introduced on Wednesday, March 25, one of them being effective immediately. Related Reading: Nvidia Lands In Court Over Crypto Secret — Here Is What Investors Missed Massachusetts Bans Crypto Prediction Market Washington’s battle against prediction markets rages […]